Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2028 be above 1.0%?
Read as: Will U.S. CPI inflation (year over year) for December 2028 be above 1%, as first published?
· BLS CPI release
Probability of yes
85%range 75–94%
Takes the latest published value and applies every historical 28-month change (full history and last decade), alongside a normal random walk. The models carry no trend assumption; the recent trend is shown for context only.
Data · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Public Data API
Not financial, election, or medical advice. Terms
Sources and the record
Asked
Market price
Kalshi · updated Oct 10, 2026, 10:38 UTC
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2028 be above 1.0%?24h volume 1 contracts
Market
12%
Our model
85%
Scale, −50 to +50
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