Will Democrats win California in 2028?
Read as: Will the Democratic nominee win the California presidential contest in 2028?
· Certified state canvass / FEC openFEC
Leaning
Yes
60% chance of yes · range 45–75%
Whether the democrat nominee wins the California president race in 2028. 2024 presidential two-party D share in CA was 60.0. Polling is not an input. Certified results settle the question.
Data · 2024 presidential two-party lean (state canvass)
Not financial, election, or medical advice. Terms
Sources and the record
Asked
State fundamentals lean
Models in the
- State fundamentals lean59% · 100%
2024 presidential two-party D share in CA was 60.0. No poll input. Office=president.
Inputs
- State
- California2024 presidential two-party lean
- Party
- democrat
- Office
- president
- Days left
- 773
60%