Will it be sunny in San Diego tomorrow?
Read as: Will mean cloud cover in San Diego, California, US be below 30% on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (local time)? Asked as a sunny day.
· observed/reanalysis daily data
Probably
No
6% chance of yes · range 0–26%
Counts how many members of three independent global (, , ) show mean cloud cover below 30, then blends that with 35 years of local . get 90 of the at a 1-day lead; the rest goes to . The range treats each model as one atmosphere, not each member as its own trial.
Data · (, , )
Not financial, election, or medical advice. Terms
Sources and the record
Asked
+ blend
Models in the
- IFS 1.0% · 30%
0 of 51 members show mean cloud cover below 30
- 2% · 30%
0 of 31 members show mean cloud cover below 30
- 1% · 30%
0 of 40 members show mean cloud cover below 30