Will it snow in Boston this weekend?
Read as: Will at least 0.5 cm of snow fall in Boston, Massachusetts, US on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (local time)?
· observed/reanalysis daily data
Nearly impossible
No
1% chance of yes · range 0–7%
Counts how many members of three independent global (, , ) show at least 0.5 cm of snow, then blends that with 35 years of local . get 90 of the at a 0-day lead; the rest goes to . The range treats each model as one atmosphere, not each member as its own trial.
Data · (, , )
Not financial, election, or medical advice. Terms
Sources and the record
Asked
+ blend
Models in the
- IFS 1.0% · 30%
0 of 51 members show at least 0.5 cm of snow
- 2% · 30%
0 of 31 members show at least 0.5 cm of snow
- 1% · 30%
0 of 40 members show at least 0.5 cm of snow