Will the FDA approve at least 40 new molecular entities in 2027?
Read as: Will the FDA approve at least 40 new molecular entities in 2027, by the approval date in Drugs@FDA?
·
Uncertain
53% chance of yes · range 25–81%
Counts approvals since 1990, and again over the last 5 complete years. The two shares are blended. No upward or downward trend is assumed. Generics are not included. The file is cached for a week.
Data ·
Not financial, election, or medical advice. Terms
Sources and the record
Asked
Historical approval frequency
Models in the
- Years since 199031% · 55%
11 of 36 years
- Last 5 complete years80% · 45%
4 of 5 years
Inputs
- Count
- approvalopenFDA Drugs@FDA
- Minimum
- 40
- Catalog