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Prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. A price is a benchmark. It is not an input.

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  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.85 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028 · 24h vol 11

    Market

    12%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    3%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.7 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    88%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    88%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    69%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.66 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    91%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.68 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    79%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.7 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    71%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.74 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    52%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.76 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    41%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.78 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    28%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    98%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.72 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    57%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.8 billion family daily active people in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    16%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.65 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    92%

    Forecast
  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    87%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    86%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    98%

    Forecast
  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    97%

    Forecast
  • Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

    Polymarket · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2028 · 24h vol 93,179

    Market

    63%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Pepas

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 1,375

    Market

    76%

    No forecast

  • Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 350

    Market

    18%

    No forecast

  • Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 161

    Market

    14%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Mask Off

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 151

    Market

    34%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Blinding Lights

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 126

    Market

    24%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Stay

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 40

    Market

    12%

    No forecast

  • DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple? — Before 2030

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 33

    Market

    27%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Sicko Mode

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 26

    Market

    35%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2028 · 24h vol 21

    Market

    65%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 24h vol 20

    Market

    23%

    No forecast

  • Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2033 · 24h vol 16

    Market

    39%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028 · 24h vol 10

    Market

    89%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 11, 2028 · 24h vol 3

    Market

    88%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2029?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2028 · 24h vol 2

    Market

    71%

    No forecast

  • Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? — Before 2030

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 2

    Market

    59%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2027 · 24h vol 1

    Market

    56%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — As It Was

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 1

    Market

    13%

    No forecast

  • Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2029?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    52%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — LG AI Research

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — XO Tour Llif3

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    16%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Meta

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    62%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Alibaba

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    31%

    No forecast

  • Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    34%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Cohere

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — God’s Plan

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    19%

    No forecast

  • Best LLM at the end of the decade? — Meta

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2029

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Best LLM at the end of the decade? — Google

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2029

    Market

    17%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Arcee AI

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Inception

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Safe Superintelligence

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Best LLM at the end of the decade? — OpenAI

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2029

    Market

    16%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Z AI

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    46%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Shape of You

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    14%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Despacito

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    18%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Rockstar

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    15%

    No forecast

  • What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? — Mo Bamba

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    22%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — OpenAI

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    86%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Google

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    79%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Amazon

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    16%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Baidu

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    61%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — ByteDance

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    26%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — Huawei

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    11%

    No forecast

  • FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal? — Before 2029

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    56%

    No forecast

  • Will NASA be eliminated?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 20, 2029

    Market

    5%

    No forecast

  • Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case? — Before 2029

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    56%

    No forecast

  • Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2027?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Dec 31, 2026

    Market

    26%

    No forecast

  • Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    88%

    No forecast

  • Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Jul 1, 2028

    Market

    95%

    No forecast

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    64%

    No forecast

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    92%

    No forecast

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 74000 Headcount in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    35%

    No forecast

  • Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    11%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    99%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    97%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    96%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.65 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    92%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.7 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    89%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.85 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    48%

    No forecast

  • Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total production in 2026?

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Mar 31, 2028

    Market

    27%

    No forecast

  • When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? — Before February 2027

    Kalshi · science & tech · closes Feb 1, 2027

    Market

    37%

    No forecast

  • Prices last synced Oct 10, 2026, 07:19 UTC. Showing up to 80 markets, modeled ones first.