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Prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. A price is a benchmark. It is not an input.

all 4,417other 1,944politics 1,235sports 494economy 489science & tech 136world 61crypto 32weather 26With a forecast
  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 13, 2026 · 24h vol 711,438

    Market

    96%

    No forecast

  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 16, 2026 · 24h vol 306,409

    Market

    92%

    No forecast

  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 31, 2026 · 24h vol 195,320

    Market

    76%

    No forecast

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Polymarket · world · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 24h vol 140,891

Market

16%

No forecast

  • Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Polymarket · world · closes Apr 1, 2027 · 24h vol 97,889

    Market

    0%

    No forecast

  • US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

    Polymarket · world · closes Nov 1, 2026 · 24h vol 84,280

    Market

    2%

    No forecast

  • Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

    Polymarket · world · closes Nov 1, 2026 · 24h vol 74,807

    Market

    7%

    No forecast

  • US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

    Polymarket · world · closes Nov 4, 2026 · 24h vol 71,634

    Market

    73%

    No forecast

  • Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

    Polymarket · world · closes Jan 1, 2028 · 24h vol 62,199

    Market

    12%

    No forecast

  • Iran leadership change by October 31?

    Polymarket · world · closes Nov 1, 2026 · 24h vol 61,383

    Market

    2%

    No forecast

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 16, 2026 · 24h vol 59,674

    Market

    96%

    No forecast

  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

    Polymarket · world · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 24h vol 57,150

    Market

    2%

    No forecast

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 31, 2026 · 24h vol 53,037

    Market

    87%

    No forecast

  • Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

    Polymarket · world · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 24h vol 49,861

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

    Polymarket · world · closes Jan 1, 2027 · 24h vol 47,985

    Market

    23%

    No forecast

  • Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

    Polymarket · world · closes Oct 31, 2026 · 24h vol 47,242

    Market

    19%

    No forecast

  • Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? — China

    Kalshi · world · closes Dec 31, 2029 · 24h vol 402

    Market

    27%

    No forecast

  • Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 20, 2029 · 24h vol 340

    Market

    16%

    No forecast

  • Where will Trump and Putin next meet? — China

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2029 · 24h vol 221

    Market

    89%

    No forecast

  • Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028 · 24h vol 21

    Market

    42%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro Parolin

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070 · 24h vol 17

    Market

    5%

    No forecast

  • Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099 · 24h vol 5

    Market

    12%

    No forecast

  • Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029? — During Trump's term

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 20, 2029 · 24h vol 1

    Market

    33%

    No forecast

  • Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — China

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2031 · 24h vol 0

    Market

    31%

    No forecast

  • Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 20, 2029 · 24h vol 0

    Market

    17%

    No forecast

  • Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2027

    Market

    4%

    No forecast

  • Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    71%

    No forecast

  • Will Trump recognize the Republic of China? — Before 2027

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2027

    Market

    2%

    No forecast

  • Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 20, 2029

    Market

    18%

    No forecast

  • Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Russia?

    Kalshi · world · closes Dec 31, 2028

    Market

    2%

    No forecast

  • Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine?

    Kalshi · world · closes Dec 31, 2028

    Market

    5%

    No forecast

  • Will Ukraine qualify for the 2028 UEFA Euros?

    Kalshi · world · closes Aug 15, 2028

    Market

    50%

    No forecast

  • Will Ukraine win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

    Kalshi · world · closes Aug 15, 2028

    Market

    1%

    No forecast

  • Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    35%

    No forecast

  • Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    22%

    No forecast

  • Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    16%

    No forecast

  • Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 6 after Issuance and before 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    10%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Pierbattista Pizzaballa

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    4%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Peter Erdo

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Anders Arborelius

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 20, 2029

    Market

    11%

    No forecast

  • Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? — China Mobile

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Russia

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2031

    Market

    1%

    No forecast

  • Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur? — Russia

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    7%

    No forecast

  • Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?

    Kalshi · world · closes Dec 31, 2028

    Market

    4%

    No forecast

  • Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2027

    Market

    9%

    No forecast

  • Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    32%

    No forecast

  • Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    54%

    No forecast

  • Will Klaus Iohannis be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    5%

    No forecast

  • Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    21%

    No forecast

  • Will Ben Wallace be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • Will Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    30%

    No forecast

  • Will Ursula von der Leyen be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    4%

    No forecast

  • Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    5%

    No forecast

  • Will Keir Starmer be the next Secretary General of NATO?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 8, 2099

    Market

    19%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Fridolin Ambongo

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Luis Antonio Tagle

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    6%

    No forecast

  • Who will the next Pope be? — Matteo Zuppi

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2070

    Market

    3%

    No forecast

  • Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2029

    Market

    29%

    No forecast

  • Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2028

    Market

    18%

    No forecast

  • Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?

    Kalshi · world · closes Jan 1, 2030

    Market

    42%

    No forecast

  • Prices last synced Oct 10, 2026, 07:19 UTC. Showing up to 80 markets, modeled ones first.