Markets

Prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. A price is a benchmark. It is not an input.

all 4,417 other 1,944 politics 1,235 sports 494 economy 489 science & tech 136 world 61 crypto 32 weather 26 With a forecast

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi · weather · closes Dec 31, 2035
Market
30%
Forecast
Will the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
Kalshi · weather · closes Jan 1, 2027
Market
9%
Forecast
Will the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2029? — Before 2029
Kalshi · weather · closes Jan 1, 2029
Market
65%

When will a supervolcano next erupt? — Before Jan 1, 2050

Kalshi · weather · closes Jan 1, 2050 · 24h vol 24

Market

33%

No forecast

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Kalshi · weather · closes Jan 1, 2030 · 24h vol 7

Market

30%

No forecast

Will India meet its climate goals? — By 2030

Kalshi · weather · closes Dec 31, 2031

Market

66%

No forecast

Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2025

Kalshi · weather · closes Dec 31, 2030

Market

12%

No forecast

EV market share in 2030? — Above 50%

Kalshi · weather · closes May 1, 2030

Market

25%

No forecast

EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%

Kalshi · weather · closes May 1, 2030

Market

50%

No forecast

EV market share in 2030? — Above 20%

Kalshi · weather · closes May 1, 2030

Market

63%

No forecast

EV market share in 2030? — Above 10%

Kalshi · weather · closes May 1, 2030

Market

85%

No forecast

Will the EU meet its climate goals? — By 2030

Kalshi · weather · closes Dec 31, 2032

Market

43%

No forecast

Will the US meet its climate goals? — By 2030

Kalshi · weather · closes Dec 31, 2035

Market

18%

No forecast